Odona.aiodona.ai

Danone S.A. (BN.PA)

scorecard multi-axes · Scorecard agent
59.1 EUR
Avg target 78.93 · +33.6%
as of 2026-10-12 · 08:43 AM
Radar
49 / 100
Tactical · 1–3 months
Mixed · short term
63 / 100
Strategic · 3 months +
Mixed · long term
Danone presents a mild alignment between its strategic long-term prospects and the current tactical setup, leaning towards the strategic view. The company benefits from a reasonable valuation and strong customer loyalty, supported by active retention efforts and a solid market position. However, moderate profitability and a high debt load temper the fundamental outlook. The most significant risk lies in the pronounced bearish technical trend, with the stock trading near its 52-week low.
Analysts — consensus & targets
Buy22 analysts
13 buy · 7 hold · 2 sell

Analysts maintain a "buy" rating on Danone, anticipating a 33.6% upside driven by strategic initiatives and market leadership.

HIGH93MID78.93LOW59 LAST 59.1
Trends by horizon log-price channels ±2σ
1Y -21% · R² 0.65
3M -19% · R² 0.96
1M -6% · R² 0.73
Strengths · watch · risks
Strengths
  • Favorable valuation multiples
  • Robust customer loyalty and retention programs
  • Strong market position in core segments
  • Positive analyst outlook with significant implied upside
Watch
  • Moderate profitability and revenue growth
  • Elevated debt levels on the balance sheet
  • European packaged food market faces moderate expansion
  • Recent news includes acquisitions alongside past product recalls
Risks
  • Pronounced bearish technical price trend
  • Stock trading near 52-week lows
  • Exposure to trade tensions and regulatory shifts
Detail by axis
Fundamentals 62
weight · tac 10 | strat 45
Valuation metrics are reasonable with a forward P/E of 13.98x, but profitability and growth are moderate. The balance sheet carries a notable debt-to-equity ratio of 98.52%.
Valuation83
Profitability59
Growth55
Balance sheet58
Capital allocation54
Management
  • Share count down 0.4 % a year over 3 years
  • Dividends took 107 % of earnings over 3 years
  • Return on equity above 10 % in 3 of 5 years; no loss year
Yahoo Finance financials · 7/7 ratios · 2026-10-12 · capital allocation from 5 fiscal years (ESEF)
Macro & sector 60
weight · tac 5 | strat 15
The European packaged food market exhibits moderate growth, yet faces potential challenges from trade tensions and evolving regulatory environments. Consumer demand is increasingly focused on sustainable products.
Grand View Research, Mordor Intelligence, Statista
Chart / technical 22
weight · tac 30 | strat 0
The stock is trading significantly below its key moving averages (20, 50, 200-day), indicating a clear bearish trend. It is also close to its 52-week low, reflecting recent price weakness.
Yahoo Finance daily prices · 5/5 indicators · last close 2026-10-12
Momentum & consensus 60
weight · tac 25 | strat 15
Analyst consensus is "buy" with a substantial implied upside of 33.6%, suggesting positive sentiment. However, the stock's price performance has been weak against its longer-term moving averages.
Yahoo Finance · 22 analysts · 3-month return
News & Social 56
weight · tac 25 | strat 10
Three correlated news items were scored, with the most recent on October 8, 2026. News includes strategic acquisitions and alliances, but also past infant formula recalls earlier in the year.
Odona news feed · 3 articles over 14 days · newest 2026-10-08
Customers 75
weight · tac 5 | strat 15
Danone actively engages in loyalty programs and strives to enhance customer lifetime value, supported by its strong market position as a top-tier global food company and a leader in packaged waters. Evidence points to efforts in retention and a solid market presence.
Gupshup.ai, Tealium, Wikipedia, Danone.com
Sources
Factual analysis from public research — not personalised investment advice and not a recommendation. Scores are structured reference points, not forecasts. Odona is a decision-support tool.
Press coverage — deep dive

Summary. Danone S.A., a global leader in packaged foods, exhibits a mixed financial and market outlook. While strategic initiatives and customer loyalty offer long-term promise, the company navigates a challenging macroeconomic environment and faces technical headwinds in its stock performance.

Earnings and Financials

Danone's financial performance shows moderate profitability, with profit margins at 7.13% and gross margins at 50.04%. Revenue growth is 1.4%, complemented by 12.4% earnings growth. The balance sheet carries a significant debt-to-equity ratio of 98.52%, indicating substantial leverage. While valuation appears reasonable with a forward P/E of 13.98x, the company's financial health requires close attention.

Competition and Macro

Danone maintains a strong global market presence, particularly as a leader in packaged waters. The European packaged food market is projected for moderate growth (4-6% CAGR to 2030), yet faces potential headwinds from trade tensions and evolving regulatory landscapes. Consumer demand is increasingly shifting towards sustainable and health-conscious products, influencing market dynamics.

Catalysts and Valuation

Recent strategic moves include acquisitions of MADE Group and Huel, and new alliances, aiming to expand Danone's product portfolio and market reach. However, the company also navigated infant formula recalls earlier in the year. Analyst consensus points to a "buy" rating with an average target of €78.93, suggesting a 33.6% implied upside, despite the stock's current technical weakness.